Chelsea – Running the Extra Mile? – A Statistical Analysis

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conte, chelsea
Chelsea have dipped in 2018 as far as current form is concerned. Their overall season form though, isn’t that consistent to attract attention in the biggest names. There has been numerous speculations regarding the current form being due to various reasons, maybe board and manager disharmony (you need to refer to our podcast on this topic). But, one main reason undoubtedly has been a lack of rotation done by Antonio Conte.
Maybe, the rationale regarding this is the “less impressive” signings done in the summer by the board. One which did not made Conte happy at all in that part of the year. So, as a result, the Italian had to rely more on his core players to do the job most of the time. This has in turn made some players fatigued at a high level. A thing which would affect them with a crucial part of the season still left.

We take a look at minutes played by the Chelsea squad players in the Premier League and Champions League and evaluate the fatigue level of each of them. (Cup games are not included here as managers tend to rotate in these games).

Fatigue Level Reference Guide: –

Total Minutes of Game Time in (PL+UCL) – 2880 Minutes

For midfielders, forwards and wingbacks, they have to play 2160 Minutes out of 2880 for not getting fatigued.

For Defenders (Centre-Backs), they can play up to 2400 Minutes out of 2880 for not getting fatigued.

For Eden Hazard, who started the season late, he doesn’t have to play more than 1900 Minutes for not getting fatigued.

1.) N’Golo Kante (Def Midfielder): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 2008
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 318
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 2326
Fatigue Level – High

2.) Marcus Alonso (Wingback): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 2147
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 418
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 2565
Fatigue Level – Very High

3.) Cesar Azpilicueta (Centre-Back): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 2250
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 525
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 2775
Fatigue Level – Very High

4.) Antonio Rudiger (Centre-Back): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1526
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 209
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1735
Fatigue Level – Normal

5.) Tiemoue Bakayoko (Central Midfielder): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1764
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 361
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 2125
Fatigue Level – Above Normal

6.) Andreas Christensen (Centre-Back): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1367
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 274
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1641
Fatigue Level – Normal

7.) David Luiz (Centre-Back): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 839
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 327
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1166
Fatigue Level – Low

8.) Gary Cahill (Centre-Back): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1438
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 448
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1886
Fatigue Level – Normal

9.) Davide Zappacosta (Wingback): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 794
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 330
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1124
Fatigue Level – Low

10.) Danny Drinkwater (Central Midfielder): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 351
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 35
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 386
Fatigue Level – Low

11.) Eden Hazard (Forward): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1527
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 439
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1966
Fatigue Level – High (Since started the season late due to injury)

12.) Cesc Fabregas (Central Midfielder): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1501
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 517
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 2018
Fatigue Level – Above Normal

13.) Victor Moses (Wingback): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1339
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 180
Tkotal Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1519
Fatigue Level – Normal

14.) Pedro (Forward): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1135
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 297
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1432
Fatigue Level – Normal

15.) WIllian (Forward): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1229
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 249
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1478
Fatigue Level – Normal

16.) Alvaro Morata (Striker): –

Minutes Played in the Premier League = 1522
Minutes Played in the Champions League = 353
Total Minutes Played (PL+UCL) = 1875
Fatigue Level – Marginally Above Normal

Inference: –

Well, that’s quite a collection of data regarding how much Chelsea have fatigued even with an important 30% of the season left. Their core players such as Hazard, Fabregas, Azpilicueta, Kante, Alonso have a higher fatigue level. In some of the cup games also, we have seen Hazard (their best player) start because of the lack of quality back-up they have. There are other players also who are marginally normal in terms of fatigue level, ain’t good for the remaining part of this season.

Conte obviously has tried to rotate in few games and the result wasn’t positive for the team. This clearly means, as a coach, he can’t get the best out of his full squad. Or we can point the fingers at the transfer policy from Chelsea board after winning the Premier League. Maybe, the Italian manager is right at being angry of the squad depth provided by his transfer board.

System wise, Conte demands full concentration from his players in defending as a team and then playing on the counter-attack. For sure a fatigued body or mind won’t be able to do that on a regular basis for him. This is resulting in a very inconsistent season overall for the Blues and they are even in danger of the top 4 place if they don’t get their act together. Forget Barcelona for now!

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